Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Washington Huskies (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd21fba42315dd52e462336c62c1032ffe4d11ef317bab68a19aa04ccd9260bdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Huskiesof Washington Huskies, Oregon Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Washington Huskies | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Washington Huskies | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 5,661$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.84 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Oregon Ducks | 52c | 5,300$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Oregon Ducks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.69 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Oregon Ducks | 45c | 1,982$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Oregon Ducks | 45c | 1,790$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.7 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington Huskies | 47c | 1,433$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Washington Huskies | 54c | 1,002$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.66 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 758.31$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Huskies | 48c | 502.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Oregon Ducks | 49c | 248.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Oregon Ducks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 207.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Oregon Ducks | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Washington Huskies | 53c | 159$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Oregon Ducks | 46c | 156.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Washington Huskies | 52c | 116.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Oregon Ducks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Washington Huskies | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Oregon Ducks | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Washington Huskies | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 58.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Oregon Ducks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Washington Huskies | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington Huskies | 48c | 47.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Washington Huskies | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Washington Huskies | 49c | 32.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Washington Huskies | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 27.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Washington Huskies | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-8.5)this page
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington HuskiesWashington Huskies won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 144.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 146.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-10.5)Washington Huskies won
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-9.5)Washington Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.