Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Washington Huskies (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4699bb3700d7c2c8b978182ae8d061f8107ae7aead348fd6e1ad0d4b47c6c539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Huskiesof Washington Huskies, Oregon Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 699.86$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Oregon Ducks | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon Ducks | 52c | 231.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Oregon Ducks | 54c | 134$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Washington Huskies | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Oregon Ducks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Oregon Ducks | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Oregon Ducks | 54c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Oregon Ducks | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Washington Huskies | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Washington Huskies | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Washington Huskies | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Oregon Ducks | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Huskies | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Washington Huskies | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Oregon Ducks | 51c | 28.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Oregon Ducks | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Washington Huskies | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Washington Huskies | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-9.5)this page
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington HuskiesWashington Huskies won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 144.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 146.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-10.5)Washington Huskies won
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-8.5)Washington Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.