Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51d8ec6f91d17d26ae9a4359af53ec4b08b08540a7264c71676a6dd3eb3f5fe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Huskiesof Oregon Ducks, Washington Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Oregon Ducks | 21c | 2,024$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.07 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Washington Huskies | 79c | 1,827$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.67 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Oregon Ducks | 18c | 930.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oregon Ducks | 21c | 599.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Oregon Ducks | 3c | 590.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Washington Huskies | 78c | 504.41$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Oregon Ducks | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed Oregon Ducks | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…3397backed Oregon Ducks | 22c | 479.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Oregon Ducks | 7c | 409.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Washington Huskies | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Washington Huskies | 78c | 389$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Oregon Ducks | 13c | 332.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Oregon Ducks | 8c | 320.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington Huskies | 80c | 298.16$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Oregon Ducks | 14c | 277.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Huskies | 79c | 266.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oregon Ducks | 21c | 260.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Washington Huskies | 76c | 255$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Oregon Ducks | 22c | 238.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Washington Huskies | 80c | 217.06$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington Huskies | 78c | 216.05$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Oregon Ducks | 19c | 210.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Washington Huskies | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon Ducks | 24c | 199.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Oregon Ducks | 21c | 190$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington Huskies | 77c | 188.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Oregon Ducks | 11c | 172$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Washington Huskies | 76c | 170.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Oregon Ducks | 23c | 156.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oregon Ducks | 13c | 156.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…61a8backed Oregon Ducks | 22c | 154.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oregon Ducks | 8c | 142.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Washington Huskies | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Oregon Ducks | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oregon Ducks | 24c | 120.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Oregon Ducks | 22c | 116.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Oregon Ducks | 23c | 114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…4fd2backed Oregon Ducks | 24c | 108.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Washington Huskies | 76c | 100.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Washington Huskies | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Oregon Ducks | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…5d3dbacked Oregon Ducks | 23c | 79.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Washington Huskies | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Oregon Ducks | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Washington Huskies | 79c | 67.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Washington Huskies | 79c | 59.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Oregon Ducks | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon Ducks | 22c | 52.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Oregon Ducks | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3a…6ba4backed Washington Huskies | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Washington Huskies | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskiesthis page
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 144.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 146.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-10.5)Washington Huskies won
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-8.5)Washington Huskies won
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-9.5)Washington Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.