TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tulsa Golden Hurricaneof Wichita State Shockers, Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20d6…3856backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c20,821$14,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,259.4821262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wichita State Shockers30c17,703$5,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,336.785,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Wichita State Shockers26c1,577$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.81,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Wichita State Shockers30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane72c1,424$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.7215851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Wichita State Shockers31c1,308$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.1999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Wichita State Shockers28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wichita State Shockers28c974.38$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane73c781.78$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.651,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wichita State Shockers26c752.54$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.244,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane67c738.95$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.165,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Wichita State Shockers26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18243450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb747…3f1bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane73c685$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.952832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Wichita State Shockers27c673$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7125946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Wichita State Shockers25c607.2$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.78930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Wichita State Shockers6c606.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.411,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wichita State Shockers13c571.05$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.83,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane72c414.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2145351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane73c410$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.737142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…d551backed Wichita State Shockers28c403.57$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane67c366.51$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.172,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Wichita State Shockers30c334.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3566831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Wichita State Shockers27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8182048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Wichita State Shockers24c223.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.470349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c208.2$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.466640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane61c190$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3425246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Wichita State Shockers27c185.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0121347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wichita State Shockers13c172.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.643,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c170.47$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.023366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane73c163.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane69c141.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.713,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane73c136.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.748462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane73c135.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6218167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane59c122.03$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0319237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c103.82$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1541354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wichita State Shockers34c102.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.431,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Wichita State Shockers42c96.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane73c90.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.967656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wichita State Shockers34c66.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.531,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c64.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2935147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Wichita State Shockers27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wichita State Shockers28c48.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.652,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Wichita State Shockers40c48.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3923028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane71c48.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Wichita State Shockers33c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Wichita State Shockers32c43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9644955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe113…375dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane75c38.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.749264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c22.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c20.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.