NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc1cae8468a461de9fe7b0ce445036c6140c1b0f9d95592a5152c62e2b655465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Knicks, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks | 50c | 11,950$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…b35fbacked Suns | 52c | 6,350$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Suns | 52c | 5,733$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.03 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks | 48c | 5,541$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.43 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 50c | 5,187$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Knicks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Knicks | 48c | 3,940$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…2cb3backed Suns | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks | 35c | 1,618$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.79 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 65c | 1,375$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 50c | 1,188$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Suns | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Suns | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Suns | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 48c | 841.42$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.88 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Suns | 51c | 798.04$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.04 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 49c | 795$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Suns | 52c | 666.04$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.04 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Suns | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Suns | 51c | 305.9$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Knicks | 50c | 298.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Knicks | 49c | 290.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Suns | 50c | 278.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.23 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 52c | 235.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Knicks | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Suns | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 60c | 193.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Suns | 52c | 192.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Suns | 51c | 189.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Suns | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Suns | 47c | 170.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Knicks | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Suns | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 46c | 126.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Suns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Knicks | 49c | 114.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Knicks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Knicks | 50c | 99.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Knicks | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Knicks | 44c | 93.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Suns | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…16b8backed Knicks | 49c | 64.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Suns | 50c | 62.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 52c | 60.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090d…e0efbacked Suns | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Suns | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…59fcbacked Suns | 58c | 53.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Knicks | 42c | 53.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…3dfcbacked Suns | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…b82abacked Knicks | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Suns | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Knicks | 35c | 43.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…c75fbacked Suns | 50c | 43.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Knicks | 44c | 41.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…bc8cbacked Suns | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Knicks | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…4cddbacked Suns | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…4f0fbacked Knicks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…88a3backed Suns | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Suns | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 51c | 36.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Suns | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Knicks | 49c | 29.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Knicks | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Knicks | 49c | 25.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Knicks | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…2e92backed Knicks | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Knicks | 45c | 22.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Suns | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Suns | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)this page
- Knicks vs. SunsSuns won
- Knicks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.