NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf22e8a373e97dd917b0712285129d352f1e7809d7c850c5749d39b66c5a5dca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 68,111$34,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,735.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 49c | 45,000$22,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,950 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 51c | 11,100$5,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660.99 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…2cb3backed Under | 49c | 8,122$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 49c | 6,708$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.16 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…080ebacked Under | 49c | 6,163$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…b5c5backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 10c | 5,675$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.54 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Under | 49c | 4,222$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…b35fbacked Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 4c | 3,558$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.68 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,548$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 2,389$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.29 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 31c | 2,274$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Over | 52c | 2,029$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.07 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 17c | 1,554$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,177$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 26c | 925.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.08 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 765$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 588$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 455$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.73 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 4c | 403.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.28 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 388.09$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 320$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 49c | 262$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 44c | 227.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 49c | 203.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 162.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 149.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 38c | 107.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 95.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa7…2e1abacked Over | 53c | 91.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 71.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 32c | 71.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 46c | 62.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…531fbacked Over | 52c | 58.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…205bbacked Over | 47c | 38.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Over | 69c | 24.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5this page
- Knicks vs. SunsSuns won
- Knicks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.