NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x789a96d0ac45c0d8bccf575c6b581d6cca7dc34faf63e9ec476affb563a1802c

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $72,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $72,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,766 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under	50c	48,038$24,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,029.99	170	31.8%54 W · 116 L	-24.9wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	47c	13,350$6,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,276	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	50c	12,060$6,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,030	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	50c	10,910$5,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,436.49	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	50c	7,232$3,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,596.27	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	1c	3,956$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.56	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over	50c	2,544$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.2	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.39	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over	51c	1,630$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.3	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	50c	1,563$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.55	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	166	57.2%95 W · 71 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Over	50c	600$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	147	46.9%69 W · 78 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	51c	575.11$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.16	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	47c	492.89$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.96	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under	57c	400$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	44c	400$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under	56c	374.18$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.64	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Over	47c	320.06$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.43	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9876…e0cabacked Over	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-4.1wins	-0.23per pick	45cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over	48c	290$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.2	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	46c	283$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.18	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	56c	250$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	47c	246.08$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.66	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	54c	243$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.78	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over	50c	216.6$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.3	232	50.4%117 W · 115 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	58c	205$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.4	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	44c	204.55$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	126	50%63 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	44c	158.27$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.64	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over	49c	149.71$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.01	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under	55c	128.56$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.99	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Over	50c	101$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Over	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-21.7wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	635	55.6%353 W · 282 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over	47c	97$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.59	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	53c	96.24$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.98	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	55c	78.72$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.19	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under	41c	67.86$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.7	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	53c	65$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.4	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under	57c	63.65$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.37	146	47.9%70 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over	48c	60.41$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Under	52c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9202…8ef9backed Under	51c	59.65$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.23	136	46.3%63 W · 73 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over	42c	59.16$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c24…b601backed Over	50c	45.63$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.82	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under	56c	43.42$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.02	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	317	45.4%144 W · 173 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Under	54c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.02	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Over	50c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefda…fadcbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	53c	29.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.83	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	48c	29$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.79	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	53c	28.94$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under	45c	27.73$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.25	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0237…e7b2backed Over	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	73cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under	57c	19.4$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.34	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event