NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe788dc2eaa5d7d197ff481af8921ac61693a27372c4876c4f157af9c8e243d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 53c | 2,920$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.45 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 2,458$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.86 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,822$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,599$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 27c | 1,016$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.12 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 46c | 490$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 43c | 392.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 327.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.79 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 57c | 199.81$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 137.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 135.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 57c | 118$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 52c | 115.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Under | 59c | 84.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 43c | 79.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 71.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 30c | 58.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 42c | 58.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 42.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 45.4%144 W · 173 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 55c | 35.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 56c | 30.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 58c | 20.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 58c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…fa8abacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 231.5this page
- Knicks vs. SunsSuns won
- Knicks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.