TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Over71c5,255$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,743.9283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c3,635$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.134,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over39c3,374$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.283,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over1c3,322$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2235326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over8c3,125$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25039018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under14c2,519$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.5414255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c2,460$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Over47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.9447751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under60c2,064$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.61,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c2,058$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over2c1,857$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.391,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over53c1,330$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c1,221$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.292,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c1,203$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under62c1,025$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.511945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Under10c1,000$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.511926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3803461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over39c759.85$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over76c692.75$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.82,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under53c521$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.872,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under55c457.36$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.811,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over39c450.62$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.746,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over75c443.98$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6921642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fee…5a90backed Under25c431.85$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.866264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Over5c400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c372.25$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed Over43c344.89$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under57c310.87$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.241,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Under33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20114042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.91,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c274.59$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under11c257.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.934052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Under53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.519547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over46c213.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3166143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7611955.5%66 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9326956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9317353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under35c163.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.455751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2927443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.516547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed Over67c145.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.921450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over61c143.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.271,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under60c136.72$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.012,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…e1d0backed Under31c119.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb8…846ebacked Over49c116.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.815255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under32c104$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.723,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7548957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b71…0e06backed Under28c98.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.113756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over48c93.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over42c90.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.643,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36a…ad01backed Under52c82.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under59c79.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.668263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over75c76.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1819232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6b8…6f30backed Over48c70.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.12927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1965…2c2dbacked Under15c69.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.482025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under61c65.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.572,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under30c63.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.823,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa06f…8a34backed Under26c62.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.563354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2d…76e3backed Under20c62.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8542551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8541354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2234654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under42c47.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.098854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed Over44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63724.3%9 W · 28 L-10.0wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xbc45…f8e3backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9814252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under59c37.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6811849.2%58 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e323backed Under53c31.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c30.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.462,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f48…81a4backed Over73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ee0…3bd5backed Under61c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Under52c25.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.346947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over54c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3919350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1219748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfd…5029backed Under44c24.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under46c24.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.26756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over61c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6430840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under63c20.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7937959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e6…5a30backed Under63c17.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.463366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under61c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6311443%49 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.