NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5742f2c39d88bf50a86a385f3c93f4df35109cfb0747a07e70825b92c909e3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 71c | 5,255$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.92 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 3,635$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 39c | 3,374$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.28 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 1c | 3,322$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 8c | 3,125$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Under | 14c | 2,519$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.54 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 2,460$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.94 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 60c | 2,064$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.6 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 2,058$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 2c | 1,857$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,330$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 1,221$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.29 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 1,203$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.44 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 62c | 1,025$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.5 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Under | 10c | 1,000$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.5 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Under | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 39c | 759.85$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 692.75$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 521$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.87 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 55c | 457.36$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 39c | 450.62$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 75c | 443.98$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.69 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…5a90backed Under | 25c | 431.85$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.86 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 372.25$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.68 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Over | 43c | 344.89$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 57c | 310.87$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Under | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 274.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under | 11c | 257.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.93 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 46c | 213.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 35c | 163.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Over | 67c | 145.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 61c | 143.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 60c | 136.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…e1d0backed Under | 31c | 119.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked Over | 49c | 116.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 32c | 104$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Under | 28c | 98.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 42c | 90.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…ad01backed Under | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 59c | 79.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 75c | 76.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed Over | 48c | 70.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1965…2c2dbacked Under | 15c | 69.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 61c | 65.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 30c | 63.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Under | 26c | 62.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…76e3backed Under | 20c | 62.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 42c | 47.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -10.0wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…f8e3backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 59c | 37.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e323backed Under | 53c | 31.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…81a4backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…3bd5backed Under | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Under | 52c | 25.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…5029backed Under | 44c | 24.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under | 46c | 24.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 63c | 20.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…5a30backed Under | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5this page
- Heat vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.