Champions League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e40b425f5c942773841ddcaa208a18c1babd1d98d98539b3cf98d11d5a003b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 41c | 2,398$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 29c | 1,468$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.78 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 40c | 1,365$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.91 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 39c | 1,166$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.49 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 59c | 1,134$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Yes | 58c | 1,048$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed No | 42c | 1,006$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 59c | 927.33$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 925$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.5 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes | 60c | 708.78$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 60c | 337.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 11c | 332.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 40c | 295.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e3…0272backed Yes | 61c | 244.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…0588backed No | 42c | 199.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 68c | 177.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…d718backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bfcdbacked Yes | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…d2d8backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 62c | 97.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 32c | 94.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…e4bfbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…de4dbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…2ca4backed Yes | 60c | 51.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…00c6backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed Yes | 61c | 42.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…a988backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…30d5backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 43c | 37.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…2318backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…96f9backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…8a79backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf0…6628backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Yes | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…f948backed Yes | 61c | 25.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…ab21backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…0995backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dce…5e09backed Yes | 60c | 16.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.