CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34af585f43f58441be67e662adbe4b2c3862424338dee5f85ef0433234a52944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof G2, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,989 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Sinners | 61c | 5,000$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.99 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 | 42c | 3,196$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed G2 | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sinners | 53c | 989.64$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed G2 | 48c | 920.6$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.33 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed G2 | 43c | 730.41$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Sinners | 52c | 694.31$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.24 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed G2 | 51c | 604.33$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.79 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked G2 | 53c | 599.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 | 47c | 576.54$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.95 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…8cf6backed Sinners | 58c | 489.73$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.73 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 | 41c | 452.76$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sinners | 60c | 416$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sinners | 66c | 406.2$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 | 44c | 357.02$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed G2 | 43c | 319.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed G2 | 60c | 266.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed G2 | 69c | 256.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sinners | 30c | 247$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked G2 | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 | 68c | 200.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Sinners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed G2 | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Sinners | 32c | 190.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Sinners | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…7860backed G2 | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Sinners | 58c | 172.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed G2 | 61c | 164.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked Sinners | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed G2 | 25c | 158.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed G2 | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcab8…b955backed G2 | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked G2 | 39c | 138.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed G2 | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Sinners | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked G2 | 49c | 128.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed G2 | 65c | 111$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed G2 | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…c5e6backed G2 | 46c | 103.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Sinners | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked G2 | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Sinners | 75c | 102$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Sinners | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Sinners | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Sinners | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked G2 | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Sinners | 55c | 91.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…e0f4backed G2 | 75c | 85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed G2 | 49c | 74.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Sinners | 71c | 72.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked G2 | 71c | 70.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d1…9599backed G2 | 36c | 69.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Sinners | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed G2 | 60c | 62.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed G2 | 63c | 60.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed G2 | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Sinners | 50c | 56.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Sinners | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Sinners | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked G2 | 43c | 48.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Sinners | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…db46backed G2 | 46c | 43.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed G2 | 36c | 41.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked G2 | 37c | 40.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed G2 | 37c | 40.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2a05backed Sinners | 52c | 39.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sinners | 42c | 39.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked G2 | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Sinners | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked G2 | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…1a23backed G2 | 52c | 30.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed G2 | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…b98fbacked G2 | 65c | 29.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 | 54c | 26.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…088dbacked Sinners | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed G2 | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…f040backed G2 | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked G2 | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…1931backed Sinners | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked G2 | 69c | 17.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)Sinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.