CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16bd8b6d693f096c349db0f41d0cb17c2d75bb98b37675e07f3210bc9939b688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof G2, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,891 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Sinners | 44c | 3,129$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.45 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed G2 | 55c | 2,386$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.04 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed G2 | 57c | 1,887$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.55 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Sinners | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed G2 | 43c | 651.16$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Sinners | 57c | 651.16$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Sinners | 48c | 483.33$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.33 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed G2 | 54c | 253.8$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.05 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed G2 | 57c | 206.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Sinners | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed G2 | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Sinners | 50c | 197$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Sinners | 41c | 175$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed G2 | 59c | 175$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed G2 | 59c | 116$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Sinners | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed G2 | 57c | 87.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Sinners | 43c | 85.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Sinners | 46c | 61.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed G2 | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Sinners | 43c | 54.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed G2 | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed G2 | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Sinners | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked G2 | 54c | 26.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G2 | 52c | 19.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked G2 | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.