CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x370d98de7e18cdee4f0b4cea1fefcbe35fbdffae88bb84596e196a78bde63212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,400 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Sinners | 0c | 23,750$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed Sinners | 27c | 6,367$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.21 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 | 73c | 5,595$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Sinners | 17c | 3,190$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.29 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed G2 | 76c | 828$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…8cf6backed Sinners | 29c | 803.79$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sinners | 21c | 771.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed G2 | 73c | 671.43$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 | 77c | 582.38$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Sinners | 25c | 573.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed G2 | 75c | 571.47$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Sinners | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed G2 | 78c | 444.91$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Sinners | 35c | 394.37$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed G2 | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Sinners | 21c | 287.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Sinners | 17c | 279.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Sinners | 23c | 214.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed G2 | 72c | 185.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed G2 | 75c | 172.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed G2 | 71c | 159.71$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed G2 | 73c | 141.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sinners | 17c | 141$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a011backed Sinners | 28c | 132.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…ed87backed G2 | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8364…9684backed Sinners | 11c | 109.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sinners | 21c | 109$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Sinners | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed G2 | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed G2 | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed G2 | 76c | 92.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed G2 | 79c | 86.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Sinners | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Sinners | 29c | 68.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…49e7backed Sinners | 22c | 67.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sinners | 19c | 56.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Sinners | 25c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…a9b1backed Sinners | 26c | 44.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…768cbacked Sinners | 28c | 44.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Sinners | 27c | 41.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked G2 | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8e3fbacked G2 | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…17edbacked G2 | 74c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)Sinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.