Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd805852a7c608588b25797d5997633468a8569ae2e4cdfd15e21b2fb993c13fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Contraof Contra, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Contra | 39c | 336.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…7d63backed Contra | 71c | 321.73$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Contra | 79c | 253$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed LYON | 21c | 235$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LYON | 29c | 216.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed LYON | 72c | 163.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Contra | 28c | 156.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked LYON | 44c | 136$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Contra | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LYON | 60c | 97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LYON | 35c | 89.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Contra | 48c | 88.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LYON | 49c | 71.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed LYON | 56c | 53.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LYON | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LYON | 47c | 48.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LYON | 60c | 47.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Contra | 74c | 25.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed LYON | 57c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked LYON | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LYON (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5)Contra won
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO5) - VCL Latin America North: PlayoffsContra won
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerLYON won
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 3 WinnerContra won
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 4 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.