Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96864b6715cae6edfd8612b53bc4aa21c944f87e0649cabc570e010985dccf06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof Contra, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LYON | 71c | 367.71$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Contra | 35c | 185.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Contra | 26c | 174.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LYON | 66c | 164.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…cd6abacked Contra | 37c | 109.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Contra | 25c | 104.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed LYON | 63c | 87.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Contra | 44c | 85.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed LYON | 73c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Contra | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Contra | 50c | 68.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed LYON | 69c | 54.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked LYON | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked LYON | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LYON | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed LYON | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…8417backed LYON | 69c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LYON | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153f…5c66backed Contra | 43c | 24.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked LYON | 56c | 23.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LYON (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5)Contra won
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO5) - VCL Latin America North: PlayoffsContra won
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 1 WinnerContra won
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerLYON won
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 3 WinnerContra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.