TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ninjas in Pyjamasof Top Esports, Ninjas in Pyjamas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40ea…832fbacked Top Esports43c25,444$11,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,063.8720339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c19,201$10,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,380.881,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Top Esports44c10,909$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8008951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40054353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07544550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c1,474$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.471,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c1,418$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.0543539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Top Esports44c1,182$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.126553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c999.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9947455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Top Esports41c887.96$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.061,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Ninjas in Pyjamas59c737.66$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6486144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c435.03$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0632941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas55c415.75$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.831,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Top Esports45c398.55$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.358751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas48c394.18$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.132,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed Ninjas in Pyjamas60c361.83$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3912446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Top Esports55c354.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19518742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.887140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…0558backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8818236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf479…2d49backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c330$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.91,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Top Esports44c322.3$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.812552%13 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Top Esports43c315.09$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4928652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4374…3d05backed Top Esports43c243.81$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7123748.5%115 W · 122 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Top Esports44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Top Esports46c222.35$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.37548%36 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.532842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed Top Esports42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846651.5%34 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed Top Esports42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8423241.4%96 W · 136 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8464749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Top Esports53c195.12$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10344046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4412644.4%56 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09f…deffbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2deb…ce53backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas46c174.48$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5235054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Ninjas in Pyjamas59c157.57$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6116035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas44c144.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8635353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda39…1865backed Top Esports42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c101.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8434357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Top Esports43c101.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.741,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Top Esports43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4342751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Top Esports56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613857.2%79 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ninjas in Pyjamas69c94.26$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.222,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2149346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Top Esports44c84.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1724949.8%124 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c81.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0917745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c74.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0579745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Top Esports41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Top Esports19c71.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7312861.7%79 W · 49 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas59c65.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6811649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Ninjas in Pyjamas59c65.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.682653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Top Esports41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512845.3%58 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed Top Esports50c60.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.862649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4629…8639backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c57.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.884555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0c…c8adbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas59c55.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.833737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c53.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.159844.9%44 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c50.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas53c50.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.871,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbbb…5693backed Top Esports44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Top Esports43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.557655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Top Esports35c45.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6575150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5930…51d2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.373669.4%25 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.674849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas65c38.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4561256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Ninjas in Pyjamas44c38.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2620764.7%134 W · 73 L+24.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Top Esports40c36.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5612647.6%60 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Top Esports38c34.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1367552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc508…6b56backed Top Esports44c32.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35242.3%22 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9e…9aa0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas59c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.714261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas62c30.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4216853%89 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas60c28.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5919656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.056738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.628559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Ninjas in Pyjamas52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick60cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9247630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.