Spread: Towson Tigers (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f088ba901202f094049de056751e601e4c6265764c407b4b92fdf4193fff8ab

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Drexel Dragonsof Towson Tigers, Drexel Dragons
Resolved: Jan 19, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $613,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $616,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $613,646 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Towson Tigers	54c	486,888$262,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262,136.83	359	45.1%162 W · 197 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Drexel Dragons	46c	336,098$154,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181,131.99	98	60.2%59 W · 39 L	+9.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Towson Tigers	55c	70,000$38,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,500	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Drexel Dragons	45c	69,035$31,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,969.2	691	42.8%296 W · 395 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Drexel Dragons	47c	50,000$23,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,500	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Drexel Dragons	45c	22,698$10,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,465.31	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Drexel Dragons	48c	15,581$7,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,152.64	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Drexel Dragons	47c	14,453$6,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,660.04	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Drexel Dragons	47c	11,111$5,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,888.83	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Drexel Dragons	47c	10,000$4,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,250.32	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36b…c180backed Towson Tigers	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Drexel Dragons	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,500	1,910	49.6%947 W · 963 L	+30.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Drexel Dragons	46c	8,232$3,787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,445.05	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Drexel Dragons	48c	6,386$3,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,342.26	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Towson Tigers	53c	4,765$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,509.58	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Drexel Dragons	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked Drexel Dragons	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Drexel Dragons	47c	1,530$725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.51	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Towson Tigers	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x656b…afbcbacked Towson Tigers	53c	565.73$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.2	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Drexel Dragons	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Drexel Dragons	47c	386$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.58	998	48.4%483 W · 515 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Towson Tigers	55c	203.29$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.81	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6cc…535abacked Towson Tigers	55c	202.02$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.35	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Drexel Dragons	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	1,070	46.9%502 W · 568 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Drexel Dragons	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	146	54.1%79 W · 67 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Drexel Dragons	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Drexel Dragons	45c	170$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.5	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…5c69backed Towson Tigers	7c	158.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Towson Tigers	53c	153.75$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.54	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Drexel Dragons	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+5.7wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Towson Tigers	51c	100.01$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.78	1,260	43.3%545 W · 715 L	+34.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Drexel Dragons	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	891	46.2%412 W · 479 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Drexel Dragons	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	1,487	43%639 W · 848 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Drexel Dragons	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Drexel Dragons	47c	95.74$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.74	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Drexel Dragons	47c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.4	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Drexel Dragons	47c	76$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.28	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0e…2d99backed Towson Tigers	25c	66.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-66%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Drexel Dragons	46c	65.68$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	180	46.7%84 W · 96 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Drexel Dragons	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Drexel Dragons	47c	53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.09	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Towson Tigers	62c	52.4$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.49	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Drexel Dragons	49c	44.71$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.93	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Drexel Dragons	47c	34$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.02	316	66.1%209 W · 107 L	+24.8wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Drexel Dragons	47c	33.31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Drexel Dragons	45c	33.29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.31	974	47.9%467 W · 507 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Drexel Dragons	48c	33.26$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.3	123	55.3%68 W · 55 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Drexel Dragons	47c	31.28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.71	120	54.2%65 W · 55 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Drexel Dragons	45c	29.78$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.28	668	31.4%210 W · 458 L	-43.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Drexel Dragons	48c	29.21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.19	196	53.1%104 W · 92 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e71…e9cbbacked Drexel Dragons	47c	28.81$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2f4…dec3backed Drexel Dragons	49c	27.73$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.14	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+97.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Towson Tigers	54c	27.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	1,296	45.1%584 W · 712 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b17…a150backed Drexel Dragons	49c	27.23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.89	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+4.1wins	+0.32per pick	53cpaid	+60.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3744…3e65backed Drexel Dragons	46c	27.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.62	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+105.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Drexel Dragons	64c	26.82$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.57	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Towson Tigers	55c	24.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Drexel Dragons	46c	22$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.88	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c8…6354backed Drexel Dragons	46c	21.98$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.87	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f30…a479backed Towson Tigers	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.4wins	-0.31per pick	49cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Towson Tigers (-6.5)this page
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson TigersTowson Tigers won
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 123.5Under won
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 124.5Under won
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 125.5Under won
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 126.5Under won
Spread: Towson Tigers (-5.5)Drexel Dragons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Towson Tigers (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event