TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 143.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$706,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$712,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $706,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c580,645$284,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296,186.9435945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c242,937$123,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,897.9569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under51c200,000$102,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under51c114,971$58,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,635.0521262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over49c53,144$26,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,103.384047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under54c36,720$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,30090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,100875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,200850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under51c9,000$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,59042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.9928539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under52c5,632$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.645759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under52c4,000$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06016954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c2,563$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.294,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over51c2,066$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.92,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c1,916$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.255,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c1,250$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Under50c795.13$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.575466.7%36 W · 18 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under54c710$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.713851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under41c663.41$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.246147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c490.5$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under54c462$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1335050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over48c416.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.618844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under46c309.09$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.818046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13040147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x656b…afbcbacked Over50c238.89$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.621741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Over49c236.33$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.534955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Under57c235.61$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75da…fc93backed Under55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10441354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10226740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c187.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.622,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under54c168.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.419653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over62c166.71$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3236845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under18c161.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.335,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.162753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under48c104.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.312341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Over54c104$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.844052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4917258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under51c99.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.997957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Over54c82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.725253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under51c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.314266.7%28 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3abc…935ebacked Under53c80.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.87353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d27…912dbacked Under53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0343…5475backed Under55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60d…2204backed Under55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under46c62.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5618646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa26f…4b98backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Under54c58.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.443554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Under49c57.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Under44c54.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.133053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under51c54.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8915844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Under55c52.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2512245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Under52c52.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.215549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under52c52.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.217844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under56c51.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.167846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under51c48.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.912133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under53c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.545950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked Under51c41.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.171833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under53c38.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.412560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under54c36.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.367252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under52c34.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.912355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83f3…a1cebacked Under50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Over49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.794456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under52c28.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.079257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9b8…c757backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.772552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Over49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.774158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Over49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.773063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.772763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked Under57c23.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.361553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa28…7d27backed Under46c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.582369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under51c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under53c19.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.395356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224b…5dfabacked Under53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.073063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.