Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac1d38606201c12877d7dd197c2d5fe6afcf859f5286f2c53fba40f653551e86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 195.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 65c | 185.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 168.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 66c | 151.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 142.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 34c | 135.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 64c | 118$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 36c | 113.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 56.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…cf94backed Yes | 66c | 47.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 46.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked No | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 66c | 28.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)FC Red Bull Salzburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.