Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6626e43b3ef3f3b3fcc757a65ac601951fccb62c6d04fb39bacfa0bb66b008d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Red Bull Salzburgof FC Red Bull Salzburg, FC Basel 1893
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Basel 1893 | 34c | 12,654$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 70c | 12,007$8,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed FC Basel 1893 | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 25c | 493$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.75 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Basel 1893 | 35c | 400.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.01 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Basel 1893 | 76c | 345.86$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.85 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 24c | 282.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed FC Basel 1893 | 75c | 169.44$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed FC Basel 1893 | 76c | 161$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 18c | 144.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 25c | 111$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked FC Basel 1893 | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed FC Red Bull Salzburg | 24c | 98.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked FC Basel 1893 | 76c | 81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked FC Basel 1893 | 75c | 71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed FC Basel 1893 | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked FC Red Bull Salzburg | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Basel 1893 | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed FC Basel 1893 | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)this page
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.