La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e83a9e1017ac2ab3f6c4377c701bd6d1031340dc10be20380f5c25e6836e8cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 10,101$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 54c | 9,070$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 47c | 1,663$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.27 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 46c | 1,411$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 1,346$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.14 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 31c | 1,244$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 46c | 1,001$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.58 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 67c | 991.26$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.13 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 42c | 819.74$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 800.6$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.22 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 56c | 731$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.77 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 672.98$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.57 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 47c | 617.28$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.12 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 32c | 384.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 54c | 350.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 347.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 45c | 243.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 232$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 22c | 221.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 33c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 195.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Under | 56c | 178.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 35c | 141.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 45c | 130$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 127.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 65c | 116.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 53c | 109$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 100.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 26c | 97.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 29c | 95.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 92.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…ce19backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 60c | 84.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 47c | 79.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 38c | 76.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…739dbacked Under | 71c | 70.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Over | 46c | 69.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 67.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 29c | 64.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 54c | 61.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 33c | 60.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 41c | 48.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…f644backed Under | 72c | 43.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Over | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x559a…9a79backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Under | 60c | 33.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 63c | 32.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…adb6backed Over | 47c | 29.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…c9d2backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Over | 46c | 25.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 68c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…2918backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 71c | 20.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.