TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,570 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c11,255$5,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,496.783,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under63c8,200$5,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,068.761338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under49c8,095$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,128.221233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Over52c5,500$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8601346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over46c3,002$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5304351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under52c2,128$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.4684850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-70%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2356…70b2backed Over52c1,364$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over49c1,250$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.321428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c1,192$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over52c1,084$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c1,022$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.62,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over34c900.84$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.958023.8%19 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over52c865.02$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.811118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffe9…395abacked Over29c834.62$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-82.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c715.35$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.9844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under63c710.62$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6842844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under76c659.81$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.047364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c641.84$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2363857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over52c615.38$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under67c432.83$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7952243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over33c400.03$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.952626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1753855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over49c307$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.432157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over35c285$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.756323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2c…4568backed Over52c240.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under48c238.42$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c229.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9370239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over35c205.22$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over51c165.38$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.349056.7%51 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over33c150$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.761861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Under48c145$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over51c119$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.698351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505042%21 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over27c101.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.414822.9%11 W · 37 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over49c101.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.681450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over43c100.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.437636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c98.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.058847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea51…a876backed Over52c97.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over52c94.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3612258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c94.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over52c82.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.895540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357536%27 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+63%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over46c73.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.742250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over52c70.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.52045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under48c62.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.858062.5%50 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…378bbacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under66c60.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8311643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over20c55.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.935026%13 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ad4…1bf2backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under49c49.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.394365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Under48c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.48683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Over51c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.971637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over53c45.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed Over51c45.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231643.8%7 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.157842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over41c40.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.463056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203450%17 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over51c39.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203275%24 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc202…01e8backed Over47c35.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under46c34.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494050%20 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Under65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Over35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under49c29.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.213461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3b…a163backed Over52c28.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over40c28.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4220047%94 W · 106 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Under48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d91…adb6backed Under49c24.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over50c20.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.