Europa Conference League · resolved market
AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b1c4f8882089324dcd646f74caaf05516df786ebea8096e0879fbc250bfc09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,887$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.02 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 59c | 1,694$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 621.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.7 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3866…a556backed Yes | 58c | 401$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 57c | 254.31$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 41c | 225.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 58c | 212.07$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 43c | 208$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 48c | 206.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 49c | 204.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 184.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 56c | 177.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 57c | 157$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 57c | 136.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed No | 50c | 130.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 57c | 129.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…01e8backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…6c72backed Yes | 46c | 97.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 42c | 95.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 56c | 89.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc796…24a1backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd224…1ee5backed Yes | 58c | 85.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 56c | 81.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 46c | 77.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…342dbacked Yes | 61c | 68.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 57c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01b2…cf0abacked Yes | 62c | 40.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 44c | 40.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed No | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 58c | 29.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 43c | 27.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked No | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…3ef9backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…e008backed Yes | 59c | 19.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 16.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.