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Lol · resolved market

LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Witchcraft
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,004 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61ce…ed13backed G2 NORD64c17,938$11,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,493.193083.3%25 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed G2 NORD75c9,212$6,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.6118451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Witchcraft50c7,648$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.3969756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Witchcraft60c7,489$4,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,528.464445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed G2 NORD26c6,130$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536.1910521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Witchcraft70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Witchcraft42c5,633$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.891,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Witchcraft78c5,065$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.496556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed G2 NORD26c5,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9914637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked G2 NORD72c4,508$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.9779653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Witchcraft38c4,414$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.121,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Witchcraft33c4,403$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.3735648.9%174 W · 182 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Witchcraft49c4,282$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.9466437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked G2 NORD55c4,130$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.491,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked G2 NORD40c3,663$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.492,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Witchcraft74c3,141$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.8948440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed G2 NORD26c3,000$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.831,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Witchcraft28c2,830$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.142,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Witchcraft75c2,408$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.679245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Witchcraft51c2,094$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.542,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Witchcraft74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4803,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Witchcraft50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00051160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Witchcraft37c1,874$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.6139246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Witchcraft51c1,700$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.6282954.5%452 W · 377 L+3.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Witchcraft62c1,700$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.971,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Witchcraft63c1,653$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.7324065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Witchcraft44c1,588$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.38944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Witchcraft66c1,514$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.952450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Witchcraft75c1,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12549549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed G2 NORD44c1,309$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.6341347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Witchcraft75c1,265$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.6530247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8f…6353backed G2 NORD34c1,261$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.829938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed G2 NORD25c1,200$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb80…ab99backed Witchcraft63c1,200$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.14872.9%35 W · 13 L+7.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+34.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed Witchcraft67c1,190$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.364749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Witchcraft77c1,123$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8603850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Witchcraft56c1,100$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61360053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf42…725ebacked Witchcraft2c1,057$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-86.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed G2 NORD38c1,042$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.791,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed G2 NORD25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed G2 NORD50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,18444.4%526 W · 658 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed G2 NORD26c994$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.2939749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Witchcraft39c984.97$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.0723547.7%112 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked G2 NORD35c980.15$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.2440237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Witchcraft74c953.67$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.723250%16 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed G2 NORD59c946.82$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.4594134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed G2 NORD35c924.61$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.9923240.5%94 W · 138 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…e07abacked G2 NORD51c924.33$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Witchcraft54c923.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50084360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Witchcraft52c908.52$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47259341.8%248 W · 345 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2875…9045backed Witchcraft17c899.97$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed G2 NORD53c860.5$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.121,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Witchcraft47c851.96$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.7615149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Witchcraft78c829.42$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64419251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed G2 NORD51c827.74$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.7426453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked G2 NORD75c777.91$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.689456.4%53 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Witchcraft74c772.94$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.412,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Witchcraft52c770$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.448243.2%208 W · 274 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40af…abb2backed G2 NORD42c763.44$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.619526.3%25 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G2 NORD50c733.83$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.381,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked G2 NORD49c726$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.265937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked G2 NORD22c707$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.4610933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d20…ca2abacked G2 NORD25c688.67$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.513935.3%49 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed G2 NORD75c672.87$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.041,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Witchcraft66c641.23$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.029456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Witchcraft50c631.04$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31533143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Witchcraft63c630.84$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.7236260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Witchcraft76c600.63$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.487057.1%40 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked Witchcraft67c600.07$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3410560%63 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Witchcraft39c599.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.991,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed G2 NORD36c596.09$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.097742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6622…6ab3backed Witchcraft66c589.81$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Witchcraft47c556.75$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked G2 NORD56c535.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.671,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked G2 NORD52c520.74$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7414835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked G2 NORD39c513.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.859238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Witchcraft75c510$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.51,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed G2 NORD70c509.9$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.691,24652.6%656 W · 590 L+4.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x174f…8768backed Witchcraft69c508.48$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+145.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed G2 NORD37c504$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3442852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed08…e082backed Witchcraft65c499.62$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32519860.1%119 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Witchcraft75c492$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36968557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Witchcraft48c491.43$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4716421.3%35 W · 129 L-22.2wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-59.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Witchcraft57c479$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.035431.5%17 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed G2 NORD38c478.95$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9539447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 NORD39c471.46$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.362,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Witchcraft75c466.67$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d0c…6e84backed Witchcraft65c451$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed G2 NORD35c439.64$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.883775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed G2 NORD62c420$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.874462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked G2 NORD24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6719830.8%61 W · 137 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab7…d144backed Witchcraft66c416.19$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.5711248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed G2 NORD25c412.2$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.968033.8%27 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed G2 NORD50c402.89$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8854054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Witchcraft62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24895951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…f1f3backed Witchcraft76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30424848.4%120 W · 128 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed G2 NORD25c399$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2527636.2%100 W · 176 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e1…d3a6backed Witchcraft12c398.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.831315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-78.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Witchcraft70c394$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.231,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed G2 NORD53c388.3$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6463161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.