Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8d2ec68d9392c3c9bb5fb31e566b35230561b1b7bc246d51c0ff6e4bfbdfe5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Witchcraft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,506 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Witchcraft | 43c | 9,186$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.91 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked G2 NORD | 45c | 5,873$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.83 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed G2 NORD | 54c | 5,434$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.99 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…2d9dbacked Witchcraft | 1c | 4,402$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 NORD | 42c | 3,748$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.55 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…7fd5backed Witchcraft | 15c | 2,660$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed Witchcraft | 1c | 2,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 276 | 38.4%106 W · 170 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed Witchcraft | 71c | 2,028$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.54 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…1700backed Witchcraft | 21c | 1,959$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Witchcraft | 76c | 1,687$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.92 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed G2 NORD | 8c | 1,666$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.29 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed G2 NORD | 53c | 1,465$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.68 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…5b91backed Witchcraft | 1c | 1,287$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Witchcraft | 74c | 1,269$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.09 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Witchcraft | 59c | 1,163$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.63 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 NORD | 57c | 1,129$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.02 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Witchcraft | 73c | 1,023$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.86 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Witchcraft | 36c | 1,002$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.99 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Witchcraft | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked Witchcraft | 54c | 962.2$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed G2 NORD | 32c | 944.79$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.56 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 NORD | 62c | 898.98$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G2 NORD | 29c | 859$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.89 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 NORD | 29c | 818.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.61 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Witchcraft | 17c | 757$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed G2 NORD | 27c | 750$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.5 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed Witchcraft | 69c | 742.19$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.06 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Witchcraft | 60c | 728.77$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.26 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed G2 NORD | 29c | 700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked G2 NORD | 52c | 645$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.97 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked G2 NORD | 40c | 586.36$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.48 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed G2 NORD | 29c | 539.47$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.57 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Witchcraft | 66c | 537.38$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.05 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 NORD | 25c | 525.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.26 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed G2 NORD | 30c | 522.48$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.77 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Witchcraft | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Witchcraft | 64c | 500$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked Witchcraft | 70c | 499.76$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Witchcraft | 36c | 421.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed G2 NORD | 50c | 407.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Witchcraft | 42c | 391.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Witchcraft | 53c | 380.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed G2 NORD | 40c | 373.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.45 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…6353backed G2 NORD | 29c | 345.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.26 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Witchcraft | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked G2 NORD | 27c | 302$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 134 | 33.6%45 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked G2 NORD | 17c | 291.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Witchcraft | 73c | 264.94$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed G2 NORD | 52c | 231.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Witchcraft | 38c | 224.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked G2 NORD | 27c | 220$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed G2 NORD | 29c | 219.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Witchcraft | 73c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked G2 NORD | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Witchcraft | 41c | 192$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Witchcraft | 57c | 178.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Witchcraft | 44c | 169$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 NORD | 24c | 166.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed G2 NORD | 77c | 157.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed G2 NORD | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Witchcraft | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed G2 NORD | 69c | 149.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed G2 NORD | 64c | 148.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed G2 NORD | 31c | 146$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…452dbacked Witchcraft | 72c | 143.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked Witchcraft | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed G2 NORD | 18c | 134.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Witchcraft | 75c | 134.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 670 | 57.5%385 W · 285 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…bebebacked Witchcraft | 53c | 134.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed G2 NORD | 32c | 131.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed G2 NORD | 35c | 125.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Witchcraft | 65c | 125.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…0a7fbacked Witchcraft | 70c | 121.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 56cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…8768backed G2 NORD | 20c | 107.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +145.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed G2 NORD | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Witchcraft | 21c | 96.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed G2 NORD | 42c | 93.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked G2 NORD | 31c | 92.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked G2 NORD | 17c | 91.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 NORD | 26c | 91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Witchcraft | 37c | 90.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d83…a627backed Witchcraft | 75c | 90.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Witchcraft | 61c | 81.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Witchcraft | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed G2 NORD | 35c | 76.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7184…c793backed Witchcraft | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed G2 NORD | 35c | 59.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Witchcraft | 61c | 59.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Witchcraft | 26c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 NORD | 31c | 52.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed G2 NORD | 67c | 51.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…72ffbacked Witchcraft | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Witchcraft | 70c | 45.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Witchcraft | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Witchcraft | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked Witchcraft | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked G2 NORD | 42c | 38.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…7066backed Witchcraft | 35c | 32.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Witchcraft | 48c | 26.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed G2 NORD | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: WT (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 WinnerWitchcraft won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.