Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01aed8acc10e8c2db0ad60e8b1f3e3ea560f8f06d0bd4bc54add9c4d198f8287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,796 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 62c | 355.04$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…314abacked Under | 58c | 344$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf8…9bd5backed Under | 58c | 313$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…244dbacked Under | 58c | 287$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573e…3324backed Under | 58c | 191$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…b93abacked Under | 58c | 187$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fe…f73dbacked Over | 42c | 182$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…40d8backed Over | 42c | 181$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…2e44backed Under | 58c | 179$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…ca1bbacked Over | 42c | 148$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6601…740dbacked Over | 42c | 144$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…fe7abacked Over | 42c | 138$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…db53backed Over | 42c | 135$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…2966backed Over | 42c | 132$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…ebc6backed Over | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dff…7f3fbacked Over | 42c | 106$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…dff6backed Over | 42c | 106$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…2bc8backed Over | 42c | 104$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 37c | 85.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe383…c89ebacked Under | 62c | 80.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 38c | 74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 65.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 43c | 38.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 30c | 37.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…8d8fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +102%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…85eabacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: WT (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 1 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 WinnerWitchcraft won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.