Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74b52dbda094d3ccd4ae8be403d0102d4af1c433b11d844cd623d0e50ada0af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Joblife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc840…16d6backed Joblife | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Galions | 61c | 1,395$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.54 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Joblife | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Joblife | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…f90cbacked Galions | 71c | 844.44$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Joblife | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Joblife | 40c | 403.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Galions | 62c | 324$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Galions | 64c | 229.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Galions | 63c | 217.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Joblife | 36c | 215.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions | 61c | 205.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Joblife | 22c | 194.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Joblife | 38c | 183.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Joblife | 31c | 168.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Galions | 62c | 161.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Galions | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joblife | 38c | 99.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Galions | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Galions | 62c | 75.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Joblife | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Galions | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 142 | 66.9%95 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Joblife | 39c | 49.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Galions | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Galions | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Joblife | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Galions | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Galions | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.