Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77de7d512e6a905ca7a59a2898a35fe5ce1873d8f3d504b2cc2b6849d66dace2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Over | 53c | 4,847$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Under | 75c | 1,654$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.78 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Under | 45c | 1,499$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.69 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Over | 48c | 1,400$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.99 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Over | 12c | 1,307$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…761dbacked Over | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 205 | 37.6%77 W · 128 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 888$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.67 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Over | 52c | 725.49$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.26 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Over | 52c | 666$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 207 | 64.3%133 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Over | 54c | 656.57$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 48c | 620.31$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.56 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Under | 48c | 599.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a4…8983backed Over | 49c | 588.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 42c | 493.72$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Over | 58c | 493.18$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Over | 54c | 444.39$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.34 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Under | 49c | 432.2$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.42 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Over | 52c | 270.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 337 | 36.5%123 W · 214 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Under | 48c | 234.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…8645backed Over | 56c | 225$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 64c | 215.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 50c | 207.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…9b4ebacked Under | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Under | 70c | 199.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…2feebacked Over | 52c | 192.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Under | 48c | 186.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Under | 40c | 184.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Under | 36c | 181.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 14c | 173$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eab…92dabacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…839cbacked Under | 48c | 120.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…e572backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Under | 58c | 86.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Over | 50c | 81.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked Under | 45c | 78.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 383 | 35%134 W · 249 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…c56cbacked Under | 67c | 54.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 34c | 53.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…f02ebacked Over | 37c | 39.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 42c | 28.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…30f6backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 80c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Over | 51c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…e373backed Over | 53c | 21.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 3?Invictus Gaming won
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+2.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 4 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.