TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ninjas in Pyjamasof Invictus Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,552 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb077…8fe8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas60c1,662$1,000 inWon+$662.227346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Invictus Gaming39c1,279$499 inLost-$498.7414038.6%54 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas59c633.33$373 inWon+$26032752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Invictus Gaming40c402.17$161 inLost-$160.871560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Invictus Gaming42c399.99$168 inLost-$1682,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c30…d531backed Invictus Gaming45c133.33$60 inLost-$6013951.8%72 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4263…8692backed Ninjas in Pyjamas61c114.75$70 inWon+$44.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Invictus Gaming41c100$41 inLost-$4153954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Ninjas in Pyjamas61c80.33$49 inWon+$31.3341060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Invictus Gaming39c74.83$29 inLost-$29.181,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Invictus Gaming40c67.72$27 inLost-$27.0912644.4%56 W · 70 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d20…ca2abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas60c67.72$41 inWon+$27.0913935.3%49 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Invictus Gaming46c43.48$20 inLost-$2049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Invictus Gaming46c43.48$20 inLost-$2012437.9%47 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas52c23.75$12 inWon+$11.478050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.