Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5cd4045e37e38547ffc5cfad2e20c26bb7b987a90811d1d3fb691fe0d1d378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 74c | 25,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 26c | 24,830$6,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.85 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 3,016$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.31 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 2,360$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 25c | 1,542$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.98 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 75c | 1,334$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.26 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8ba9backed Yes | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 75c | 798.63$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 632.08$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 556.68$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 64c | 510.13$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 78c | 500.97$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 26c | 500.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 24c | 456.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 11c | 423.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…c370backed Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 395.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 25c | 375.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 74c | 344.71$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 75c | 300.6$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 15c | 295.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 23c | 276.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 74c | 271.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 242.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 36c | 220.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 64c | 207.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 13c | 192.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…aca7backed Yes | 77c | 166.69$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed No | 26c | 154.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 27c | 145$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 75c | 128.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 23c | 99.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 64c | 88.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 24c | 86.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 27c | 75.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 30c | 67.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 80c | 62.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 24c | 61.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0a2dbacked Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…aed0backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…422dbacked Yes | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1e40backed Yes | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…62b7backed Yes | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 72c | 27.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…500dbacked Yes | 71c | 27.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…75f2backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8b51backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 70c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will NAC Breda vs. PSV end in a draw?No won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.