La Liga · resolved market
Will Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fd453a30b631f0e9472819b47704771c0b7d03972105da15b14f2b58cc49ef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 2c | 4,591$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 19c | 1,739$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,158$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 21c | 775.47$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 20c | 514.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 216.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d87…3cadbacked Yes | 19c | 155.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…490fbacked Yes | 19c | 142.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1067…9bd3backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Yes | 18c | 128.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 17c | 106.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 80c | 45.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.