Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c66563f4b85d84e8f8b5815e3ed010db8cae42e9ab88ad48477a352dfcc866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 70c | 3,187$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.01 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…6456backed Yes | 41c | 2,225$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,168$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.7 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 18c | 1,124$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 52c | 899.97$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 48c | 884.57$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.59 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…9569backed Yes | 2c | 850.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 51c | 772.28$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.24 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed Yes | 49c | 739.65$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…8359backed Yes | 3c | 647.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 630.81$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 50c | 621$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 49c | 441$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5366…1089backed No | 53c | 348.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…84b2backed Yes | 49c | 342.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 290$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Yes | 49c | 211.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 48c | 206.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 66c | 160.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 155.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 51c | 149.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 47c | 143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed No | 53c | 141.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes | 49c | 121.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 73.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 48c | 54.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 47c | 52.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 48c | 52.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 20c | 50.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…a0a5backed No | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 48c | 47.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…467fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…558dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 42c | 35.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 52c | 32.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…3bcebacked No | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…399ebacked No | 68c | 20.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.