Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0b8dd843a31094efedeb007bf0be4a074e316ab1266b0f53adffeb1436d941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 29c | 1,159$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.11 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 71c | 1,133$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.47 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 74c | 366.89$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 215.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 26c | 173.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 148$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 74c | 79.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…6aeabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 66.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 76c | 57.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 26c | 50.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 26.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…3bcebacked No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.