Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cbdfc5bed3dacc95935ddc701653b17de501299e5a0e0a4a0a9c0d3702c7f36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 4,861$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.89 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 3,904$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.41 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 66c | 3,618$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.88 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 58c | 2,542$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.24 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 72c | 1,760$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.94 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,669$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.51 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2f87backed Yes | 52c | 1,508$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 30c | 1,439$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.2 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 70c | 1,160$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.42 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 1,059$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.48 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 15c | 342$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…8359backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 28c | 272.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 29c | 151.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 25c | 135$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 10c | 106.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 69c | 100.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 91.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…835ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 30c | 59.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…9437backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…2addbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…16c5backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…3bcebacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…5ce7backed No | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 69c | 14.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.