Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57516b64008af2afe88194125d595975a388dce368eae51cdd66c4f58cb5aba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 19c | 52,992$10,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,038.57 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 18c | 12,471$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.99 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 19c | 10,021$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 19c | 6,836$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…fb63backed No | 19c | 6,500$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 19c | 5,587$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 19c | 5,500$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 19c | 3,994$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 2,744$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.16 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 19c | 2,516$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 29c | 2,339$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.08 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 19c | 2,195$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked No | 20c | 1,639$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.57 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 19c | 1,220$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…96a6backed Yes | 79c | 1,205$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 19c | 1,180$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 19c | 1,122$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ea…be40backed No | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 20c | 857.16$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes | 71c | 850$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 827$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 19c | 697.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 73c | 684.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 18c | 677$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked No | 19c | 619.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 19c | 604.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed No | 16c | 579$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 76c | 553$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 19c | 409.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 18c | 345.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 18c | 341.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 18c | 330$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 18c | 311.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…62c7backed No | 19c | 288.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…69ebbacked Yes | 78c | 282.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 80c | 277$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…a537backed No | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 20c | 247$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…81ccbacked No | 19c | 242.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 17c | 141.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 79c | 106.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 18c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 25c | 75.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 21c | 71.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…3b19backed No | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…5bfebacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed No | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 24c | 67.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84a…fb00backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…ab21backed Yes | 75c | 34.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…2c92backed Yes | 77c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…e38fbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 74c | 23.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 77c | 22.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc844…978cbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?No won
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.