Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d3c07bb02abf6cd11f0efdf3405dacb2113b10b7b21688f4083b36699726a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 14c | 4,435$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.39 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked No | 13c | 3,004$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 13c | 2,797$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.21 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 16c | 2,328$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.35 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 9c | 2,224$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 15c | 2,193$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.52 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 19c | 1,682$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.65 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed No | 6c | 1,190$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 12c | 1,091$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 1,088$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.61 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 14c | 1,069$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 8c | 883.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 7c | 642.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 15c | 612.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 14c | 574.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 571$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 13c | 558.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 9c | 477.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 5c | 453.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 8c | 442.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 14c | 415.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 14c | 380.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 360.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 11c | 251$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b7…5918backed Yes | 80c | 249.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 12c | 232$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 15c | 191$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 12c | 166.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 14c | 166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 16c | 153$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed No | 13c | 141.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 15c | 138.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 10c | 114.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 44c | 114.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 14c | 112.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 13c | 106.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 12c | 101.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 13c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…e0d7backed Yes | 79c | 66.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…c64dbacked Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-17?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-07-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.