Tennis · resolved market
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Lorenzo Angelini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c2604449b230dcd3029785444d044243a9e230018b839571e4b0f6101868535
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Alcala Gurriof Max Alcala Gurri, Lorenzo Angelini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 14c | 4,341$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 9c | 1,705$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Lorenzo Angelini | 17c | 1,313$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.65 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Angelini | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 19c | 1,154$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.33 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lorenzo Angelini | 8c | 968.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 13c | 913.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lorenzo Angelini | 17c | 855.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Angelini | 18c | 687.7$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 12c | 582.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Lorenzo Angelini | 10c | 524.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Lorenzo Angelini | 17c | 514.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Lorenzo Angelini | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 21.5%80 W · 292 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lorenzo Angelini | 16c | 495$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Lorenzo Angelini | 20c | 480.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lorenzo Angelini | 18c | 399.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Lorenzo Angelini | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Lorenzo Angelini | 8c | 310.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 10c | 284.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Lorenzo Angelini | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Angelini | 9c | 232.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lorenzo Angelini | 12c | 231.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e51abacked Lorenzo Angelini | 15c | 206.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +204.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lorenzo Angelini | 18c | 202.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Lorenzo Angelini | 18c | 147.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…e801backed Lorenzo Angelini | 7c | 145.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Lorenzo Angelini | 11c | 137.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 10c | 114.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Lorenzo Angelini | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…218bbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 17c | 72.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 15c | 70.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Lorenzo Angelini | 17c | 66.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Max Alcala Gurri | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Lorenzo Angelinithis page
- Set Handicap: Gurri (-1.5) vs Angelini (+1.5)Gurri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.