TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,190 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes57c19,754$11,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,497.7612545.6%57 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No8c15,823$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.682,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No16c13,292$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.62,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No28c12,991$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.934143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c12,482$3,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,309.825,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No7c8,138$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.912,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked No45c5,978$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.961942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked No12c5,226$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.563633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No13c3,747$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.132360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Yes58c3,450$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4491656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No1c3,030$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.33336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No5c2,939$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.352857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+114.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No12c2,692$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.189245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No2c2,612$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7292835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked No43c2,305$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+102.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No5c2,263$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.015655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed No46c2,093$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked No4c1,790$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.26616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes71c1,631$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No10c1,588$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.51,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed No44c1,455$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.32015%3 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c1,359$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.451,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No9c1,115$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.718851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes55c1,054$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.541,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c934.99$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.041,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed No45c923.1$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.43551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes55c899.96$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No4c809.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7414942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No45c798.32$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.338843.2%38 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Yes58c771.9$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.22040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed No37c678.16$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No4c650.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0416858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No6c618.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.592317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No22c611.57$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.433243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No13c582.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6770842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed No16c568.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.834242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed No5c563.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No8c523.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1630548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No4c512.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.691428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No18c509.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.266642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed No44c499.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9812639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No8c480.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed No4c452.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No7c429$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.413842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes56c416.07$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.072544%11 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No8c375.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2125653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked No23c374.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid+40%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes54c373.57$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8415036.7%55 W · 95 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes56c348.86$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.518644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No9c315.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.671,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes55c306.9$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed No6c296.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.752020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No9c277.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8614144%62 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No8c260.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2524448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No8c241.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1413654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes78c225.36$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6737153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No43c210$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.38928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked No11c176$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.363450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed No16c165.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.357546.7%35 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes78c157.5$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9415160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes58c155.48$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.37639.5%30 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No11c151$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2526136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed No45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No11c128.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0944152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No44c127.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.18958.4%52 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes56c119.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.796759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No45c115.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3242351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No43c110.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.353946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes57c103.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4993446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked No12c95.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.412842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7581…5a95backed Yes58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.83560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes55c81.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5932654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes58c81.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.162250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa4…f5b4backed Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.89757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No43c69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3340550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes55c69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.931,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No44c63.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.961735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4214…105dbacked Yes58c63.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.612157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes66c60.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9211861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.514949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes55c59.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9520256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e3…8973backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.578941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaed2…c43ebacked Yes76c52.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.723138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes56c50.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3874739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa12d…5a58backed Yes59c50.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked No43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203030%9 W · 21 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-53.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc183…8686backed No43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No45c42.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.048243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes73c42.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.385058%29 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.954354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810245.1%46 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked No46c37.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.191323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes59c35.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.713647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.