Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe718df6d1a7bb9be2b592e6c3f367597ba26281b1cd1a7f546d9cd163f7be2a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 13c | 6,982$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.15 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 6,933$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.01 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…3974backed No | 77c | 6,120$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…489fbacked No | 77c | 5,737$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 23c | 5,267$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 4,813$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.66 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 4,654$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.55 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 2,341$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.76 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 3c | 2,083$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,583$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…f07abacked Yes | 3c | 1,136$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 1c | 1,001$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 23c | 847.83$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 22c | 726.39$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 507.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes | 23c | 441.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 4c | 354.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 23c | 337.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 327.61$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 327.35$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 327.04$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 280.53$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 7c | 214.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 200.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 23c | 182.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 24c | 170.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 24c | 168.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 77c | 167.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 119.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 13c | 108.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 76c | 105.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 77c | 96.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 78c | 95.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes | 22c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Yes | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…2883backed Yes | 25c | 80.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 24c | 79.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…4f62backed No | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 74.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 77c | 66.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…e8cfbacked Yes | 19c | 61.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…29e4backed Yes | 24c | 61.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 24c | 58.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Yes | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 22c | 49.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 46.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 77c | 37.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 77c | 24.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 79c | 23.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked No | 78c | 17.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 76c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-10?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.