Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc55105abee729eb36bb3f13ca4bfafe2cc3c2d170277dc045aa67858dbbbcb9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 4c | 11,359$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.55 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Yes | 15c | 4,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +228.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 4c | 2,306$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 4c | 1,335$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 720.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yes | 16c | 488.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 5c | 469.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +249%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9de…7912backed No | 79c | 417.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Yes | 14c | 411.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 346.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 6c | 343.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 78c | 296.36$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 20c | 293.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 5c | 286.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 12c | 272.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 6c | 255.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…6defbacked Yes | 17c | 230.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 11c | 215.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 22c | 162.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 18c | 136.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 101.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 99.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…5a95backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 21c | 82.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 72.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 21c | 70.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 21c | 70.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 22c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 79c | 49.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 39.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…a006backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 26.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-10?Yes won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.