Token Launches · resolved market
Hyperliquid all time high before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a221f6fdbd305801cdac6503306e4add7284480b8adc64b55339e04f260b25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,959$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed No | 57c | 4,360$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…911dbacked No | 50c | 1,430$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 68c | 961.98$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 701.4$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.43 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 32c | 678.27$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…a14cbacked No | 51c | 600$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 38c | 598.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 46c | 597.67$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.56 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed No | 50c | 572.49$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…c873backed Yes | 57c | 351.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e5…7622backed Yes | 70c | 322$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…36ebbacked Yes | 68c | 296.19$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 44c | 243.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…256ebacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 54c | 102.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…c40bbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed Yes | 25c | 99.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…c44abacked Yes | 51c | 93.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5f66backed Yes | 58c | 85.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 63c | 67.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf850…f05bbacked Yes | 48c | 52.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +161.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…1496backed Yes | 58c | 51.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…29dbbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…60e1backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…a698backed Yes | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 51c | 35.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa964…6fa0backed Yes | 60c | 32.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 50c | 31.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…b42dbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked No | 48c | 27.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed Yes | 63c | 26.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4e…c1fcbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Yes | 55c | 26.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…1ff2backed No | 59c | 25.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…8321backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a6…271ebacked Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.