South American Leagues · resolved market
Montevideo City Torque vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b406bd2128c6a67c491c8432c827c5951fc6a2641c9db55ce66b1825874239b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 55c | 81,366$44,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,928.9 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 22,471$10,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,396.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 45c | 9,667$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,365.17 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 45c | 5,587$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.48 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 45c | 5,587$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.48 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 45c | 5,352$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.84 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 45c | 5,352$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.84 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 45c | 5,352$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.84 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 3,419$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.18 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 45c | 2,714$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.77 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Under | 44c | 1,868$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 45c | 1,640$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.83 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 1,453$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.74 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 45c | 1,102$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.36 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 45c | 966.7$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 45c | 693.04$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.47 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 670.95$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 45c | 508.94$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.92 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 45c | 292.94$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 45c | 242.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 45c | 242.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Under | 45c | 200.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 45c | 193.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 45c | 183.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 45c | 164.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 45c | 164.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 45c | 135.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 45c | 135.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 126.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 45c | 113.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 45c | 107.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 45c | 100.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 99.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 45c | 92.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Under | 45c | 87.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.8wins | +0.39per pick | 56cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…dd9abacked Under | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 45c | 81.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 45c | 81.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 47c | 81.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 45c | 76.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 69.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 68.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 67.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 45c | 58.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over | 70c | 54.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 71c | 54.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 72c | 54.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 52.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 45c | 49.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 45c | 49.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Under | 45c | 44.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 45c | 40.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 53c | 36.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 63c | 35.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…5923backed Under | 45c | 29.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…2084backed Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…c0ddbacked Over | 69c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 68c | 19.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montevideo City Torque vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5this page
- Montevideo City Torque vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.