TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,949 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes36c46,610$16,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,979.794238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c8,409$5,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.788,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c4,348$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.965,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No64c3,983$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.876355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No64c3,488$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.571,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c2,479$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.381,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No62c2,380$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.571,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No64c2,135$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.9612361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No64c2,135$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.6457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No64c2,135$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.6333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No64c1,939$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.1465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No64c1,939$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.1447756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No64c1,939$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.1441256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes35c1,588$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.4228651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes37c1,516$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.33046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No64c1,477$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.6328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No64c1,138$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4236757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc84f…c9ecbacked No62c945.68$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No59c899.93$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9711963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No63c866.84$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.4411763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes42c813.53$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.681118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c540.43$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.61,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No64c494.18$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.317955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed No62c394.03$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes38c392.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c333.43$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.631,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Yes40c330.17$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No64c314.88$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2563657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No64c314.88$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2547758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No64c303.25$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.168961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No63c286.21$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2618859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No62c260.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9915457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes41c236.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.457732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No64c228.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0420059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes6c228.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes5c214.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No62c213.28$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0510564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No62c198.12$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.292979.3%23 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed No62c189.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c189.04$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.271,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No62c180.75$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.682,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No65c177.61$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.529457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes41c172.15$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.371,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No64c159.79$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4244959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No64c159.79$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4215654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.892576%19 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed No62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.044461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.043467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.042774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes41c152.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.291,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No72c149.79$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4219056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No69c148.1$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3526160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No64c122.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.037957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2340242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x858e…f730backed Yes22c102.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No64c98.64$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4119955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No64c98.64$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4112259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes38c95.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.251711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-77.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No62c94.57$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.941450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61e…a10bbacked No61c93.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.962871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed No63c93.53$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.253458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed No62c90.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.444158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed No64c88.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes30c88.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5424654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No64c83.35$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.98851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No66c80.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.678964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No63c78.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.222740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes41c70.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.946415.6%10 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes34c66.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.855935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed No64c63.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.452095%19 W · 1 L+7.8wins+0.39per pick56cpaid+76.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7da5…c3d5backed Yes41c58.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4999…dea5backed Yes37c53.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.912326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked No64c52.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.193953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b64…72eabacked Yes37c52.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.242626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes39c51.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes40c49.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7810943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc389…6b32backed Yes42c46.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.31330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No62c43.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4129245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No62c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.342,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No58c42.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.729854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed No59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.958647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked No60c40.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed No61c40.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.766342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No64c39.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.097156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.821,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No64c37.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3911553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No63c36.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2619264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…6dd2backed Yes30c35.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…8c31backed Yes72c34.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No69c31.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7711664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7170…76afbacked Yes67c29.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed No65c28.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.012646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No74c28.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.447867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes35c28.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked No70c28.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.462185.7%18 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+48.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed No75c25.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.325156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No61c25.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8421266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No76c24.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.994866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.