TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over37c3,923$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.1114727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under68c3,790$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.961,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c2,976$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.498,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c2,826$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.345,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c2,704$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.1217146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c2,597$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.192,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over34c1,957$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over54c1,416$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.4221839.4%86 W · 132 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over62c1,182$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.98447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over34c1,083$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.141952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2139…7fe2backed Over52c1,077$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Over70c1,007$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Over70c999.98$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.994443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.992321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over69c999.98$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.981711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-77.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under46c920.76$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.639248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3d…b570backed Under67c715.28$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.146100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over67c697$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.3912354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over63c668.88$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.5516656%93 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over28c450.15$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.557420.3%15 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over66c445.27$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.88825%2 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-63.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over46c368.11$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3312645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c328.07$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.382,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under69c323.62$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8128158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under68c311.74$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3933560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under68c311.74$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under68c311.74$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under68c311.74$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3947756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under68c311.74$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under68c311.74$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3912361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over33c296.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.939127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under57c286.81$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9810456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under60c225.63$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.616451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under77c212.31$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6716759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.761850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under59c204.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3657157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Over68c190.78$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.731947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under50c190.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.156845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over29c178.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.592,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under57c170.75$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2515457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under57c170.75$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2517857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c169.09$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.583,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under59c159.79$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2616255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under31c128.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4345253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under32c126.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under62c110.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.965860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under31c101.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.221,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under50c99.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7116653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over71c99.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3583642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.515654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under33c94.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6411059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe5…f419backed Over67c90.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.771833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under59c81.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.758961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under32c81.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.521349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0da…b072backed Under68c77.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over71c73.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3211059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over33c71.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.465339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1425147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc3b…b37fbacked Over22c65.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6121…c283backed Over30c63.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under73c62.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.787660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under32c56.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.721359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…a021backed Under56c53.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed Under30c49.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under66c48.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8520059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.258851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.252245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over67c46.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.433073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over57c46.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.35646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over67c43.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.412965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over67c43.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.416159%36 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over68c43.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.424360.5%26 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over32c38.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3314824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under73c36.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7412464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bae…e81ebacked Under68c36.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.54683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over48c35.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.932055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64a4…5bc2backed Under65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.547100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+112.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7780…c0ddbacked Over67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.051968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Under69c29.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.231060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x933b…84abbacked Over46c23.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe458…7abebacked Over68c22.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2440%0 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under65c16.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.893663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under60c16.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.593458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.