South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e864c9e4ac46289868879a901df47d37e4d4d6a19afe98b2e26b2e9b284acf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 50c | 6,981$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.46 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 2,066$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 47c | 2,029$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.57 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 1,298$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.31 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 49c | 1,068$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.66 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 50c | 905.41$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 674.32$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.86 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 576.37$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 499.37$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.66 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 418.02$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.73 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 388.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 383.89$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 303.04$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.63 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 279.29$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.47 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 277.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 46c | 269.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 248.73$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 31c | 218.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 30c | 198.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 47c | 185.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 47c | 149.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 51c | 121.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 113.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 78c | 105.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 49c | 99.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 98.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 55c | 88.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 82.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked No | 50c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 35c | 80.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked No | 49c | 79.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 79.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 64c | 72.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 64c | 72.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 64c | 72.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 64c | 72.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 64c | 72.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 38c | 63.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 66c | 63.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 62.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed No | 54c | 58.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 54c | 58.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 46c | 52.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 46c | 48.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 58c | 44.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed No | 53c | 41.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bae…e81ebacked No | 51c | 41.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 52c | 40.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 52c | 40.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 52c | 40.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 57c | 39.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked No | 56c | 39.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 59c | 34.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 79c | 32.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed No | 66c | 28.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.8wins | +0.39per pick | 56cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 67c | 28.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Yes | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Yes | 42c | 27.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…5f07backed No | 47c | 26.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 79c | 21.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed No | 56c | 18.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 61c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 76c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-08?this page
- Will Recoleta FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-04-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.