South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc54a64df7fb3c158f29aef482bfbdcf92838121fa991dbf9c4f46254326232b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 72c | 445.73$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 27c | 285.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 73c | 278.42$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 208.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 73c | 206.62$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 197.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 175.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 173.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d9…3624backed Yes | 41c | 164.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 162.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 20c | 126.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Yes | 29c | 112.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 107.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Yes | 38c | 68.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes | 27c | 68.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 36c | 67.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 28c | 67.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 64.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 71c | 59.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…f7b1backed Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 42.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 39.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 40c | 33.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 26.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 73c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 73c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 80c | 15.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-08?this page
- Will CD Cuenca vs. Santos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-04-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.