South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-04-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29412ba9d2e3cc71cb0d21a77f7aaa65d2fbe348fe26a9fbb4a8a9bce4281323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 61c | 999.97$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.98 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes | 42c | 984.42$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 58c | 650$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 39c | 485.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.88 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 57c | 389$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 58c | 332.43$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 227.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 69c | 166.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 151.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 134.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 131.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 116.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 36c | 107.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 35c | 101.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed No | 59c | 81.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 70.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 34c | 69.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 59c | 66.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 59c | 60.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 40c | 49.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 53c | 45.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 39c | 39.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 60c | 23.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed No | 63c | 17.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 15.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…9378backed No | 76c | 15.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-04-08?this page
- Will CD Cuenca vs. Santos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.