South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8767cab0b985d33934f31d1797c3daf2f1e331e51645249d3275bb916ce04962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 48c | 9,430$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.26 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 52c | 4,541$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.6 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 53c | 3,886$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.84 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,098$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 33c | 959.8$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 945.71$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 875.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 595.68$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.83 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 367.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.31 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed No | 51c | 300.62$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 49c | 225.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 171.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 49c | 159.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 56c | 116.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 52c | 111.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 52c | 102.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 99.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed No | 52c | 96.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 85.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…13d4backed No | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 41c | 67.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 58.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 27c | 45.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Yes | 50c | 41.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 48c | 41.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed No | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 44c | 32.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 50c | 28.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 52c | 21.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-08?this page
- Will CD Palestino win on 2026-04-08?No won
- Will CD Riestra vs. CD Palestino end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.