Movies · resolved market
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c2d6a33bd848d03b55f9c9ae23518675aafe29a116868168168a1036211a431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 75c | 11,900$8,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.88 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 39c | 9,023$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.09 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 24c | 8,004$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 3,123$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.37 | 480 | 28.5%137 W · 343 L | -33.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 39c | 3,119$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.87 | 148 | 27.7%41 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 23c | 2,313$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.12 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 74c | 2,290$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…e6e4backed Yes | 73c | 2,010$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,848$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 1,415 | 8%113 W · 1,302 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 35c | 919.66$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 20c | 900$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 66c | 771.85$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.83 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 27c | 690.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…3690backed Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 28c | 598.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 23c | 531.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.41 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 2c | 525.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 30c | 467.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Yes | 76c | 406.61$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…0a84backed No | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…66efbacked Yes | 80c | 399.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 17c | 362.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 509 | 33.2%169 W · 340 L | -31.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 21c | 360.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed No | 13c | 360.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…c199backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 26c | 297.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked No | 35c | 292.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 28c | 290.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.39 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 25c | 290$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 24c | 284.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebb…9305backed No | 17c | 282$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 76c | 275.4$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 73c | 263.25$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…7344backed No | 26c | 250.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked Yes | 79c | 244.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 34c | 237.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 70c | 232.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked Yes | 73c | 229$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1f…86c4backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed No | 14c | 194.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked No | 40c | 170$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 12c | 166.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…c2d5backed No | 10c | 165.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…5b47backed No | 17c | 161.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…6c16backed No | 25c | 159.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…6090backed Yes | 75c | 158$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked No | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…6c2cbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed No | 13c | 127.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 123.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…309abacked No | 48c | 123.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 28c | 122.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 235 | 30.6%72 W · 163 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 38c | 117.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 23c | 114.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 61c | 110.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…bcbcbacked Yes | 80c | 108.35$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 28c | 106.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed No | 34c | 103.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 17c | 102.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 131 | 23.7%31 W · 100 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…7be3backed No | 34c | 102$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 37c | 100.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 1,223 | 17.8%218 W · 1,005 L | -125.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…1479backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…467bbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…90acbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…8490backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…1d24backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…c545backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…03b1backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…a18ebacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…a4e6backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…3e4abacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 26c | 99.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 39c | 96.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…ba3cbacked No | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 35c | 86.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ec…5f73backed No | 18c | 81.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 77c | 79.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 885 | 33.6%297 W · 588 L | -76.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…2410backed No | 35c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…4d33backed Yes | 65c | 68.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 28c | 63.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 24c | 62.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…05aabacked No | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 56c | 51.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebbf…cf44backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…d0e5backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…07bcbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 24c | 49.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…131abacked No | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked No | 32c | 44.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed No | 28c | 43.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.