Movies · resolved market
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43fe374bb805491e352ca0bc76c0a8da9aef3ae222caf90409649ed78737b14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ece…a58abacked Yes | 0c | 19,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed Yes | 13c | 3,888$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9b…934ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…7c88backed Yes | 1c | 1,396$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…e155backed Yes | 16c | 1,295$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Yes | 15c | 1,119$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…cd2fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,081$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,030$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 12c | 794.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 12c | 704$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…1f2dbacked Yes | 14c | 667.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 10c | 515.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 454.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90f…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 422.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Yes | 70c | 418$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…b31ebacked No | 74c | 398.01$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…7d86backed Yes | 17c | 389.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed Yes | 12c | 116$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…719abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…1b11backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41f…36a0backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…c545backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0e…3c0fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ec…5f73backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…a4e6backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 65c | 89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 15c | 86.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…f2acbacked No | 76c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 24c | 79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 75.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 22c | 74.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed Yes | 26c | 55.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 25c | 47.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…e3adbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked No | 50c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…ee7ebacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.